Bitcoin Nears Key Bear Market Bottom Zone, Just $5K Away
BTC has dropped within 10% of its realized price, a level that historically marks the bottom of Bitcoin bear markets.
Bitcoin is flashing one of its most reliable bottom signals right now. The recent selloff pushed BTC to within roughly $5,000 of its realized price — the average cost basis of every coin on the network. Historically, touching that level has marked the best buying opportunities in every major Bitcoin bear market.
Realized price isn't just another indicator. It represents the aggregate price at which the entire Bitcoin supply last moved on-chain. When spot price dips to or below that number, the market is essentially trading at cost. Sellers are exhausted, and long-term holders typically step in hard.
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Previous bear cycles tell the same story. In 2018 and again in 2022, Bitcoin briefly breached or kissed its realized price before staging major recoveries. Traders who bought in that zone caught some of the most explosive upside moves in crypto history. That zone is now roughly 10% below current prices.
That 10% gap can close fast — especially in a volatile macro environment. If you've been waiting for a high-conviction entry, the market is handing you a setup that has worked every single time in Bitcoin's bear market history. That doesn't guarantee it works again, but the risk/reward here is hard to ignore.
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