S&P 500's Strongest Quarter Begins: 34 of 41 Years Positive
Historically the market's best quarter is kicking off. The S&P 500 has posted gains in 34 of the last 41 such periods.
If you're sitting on the sidelines, here's your wake-up call. The stock market's historically strongest quarter of the year is about to get underway, and the numbers behind it are hard to ignore. The S&P 500 has finished in the green during this period in 34 out of the last 41 years — that's an 83% win rate that most traders would kill for.
Seasonality isn't a guarantee, but it's a tailwind. When the odds tilt this heavily in one direction, you at least want to know which way the wind is blowing before you place your bets. Ignoring a pattern this consistent isn't skepticism — it's just leaving money on the table.
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Think about it this way: if a trade setup worked more than four out of every five times historically, you'd be paying close attention. That's essentially what the calendar is handing you right now. Seasonal strength doesn't mean you throw risk management out the window, but it does mean the burden of proof shifts to the bears.
The smarter move is to align your positioning with the historical trend while keeping stops tight. Momentum and seasonality together can be a powerful combination — especially when broader market sentiment has room to recover. Watch how the index behaves in the opening weeks; early strength could signal the pattern is repeating once again.
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